Based on the detailed analysis provided in your post, here are the key takeaways regarding Entrata's IPO valuation:
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Revenue and Growth:
- 2025 Revenue: $509M
- Forward Run-Rate (Q1 2026): ~$574M
- Year-over-Year Growth Rate: Approximately 20-24%
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Multiple Range:
- Bear Case: Payments-weighted multiple (~4x) = ~$2B EV
- Base Case: Vertical-software blend (~4.75x) = ~2.8B EV
- Bull Case: AppFolio/ServiceTitan parity (~5.5x) = ~$3.2B EV
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Adjustments:
- IPOs typically price at a discount (10-15%) to leave room for a first-day pop.
- Entrata has 120M cash, resulting in net debt of ~$270M.
-
Expected Market Cap:
- After
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