Sustainability & Climate

State of the climate: Strong El Niño puts 2026 on track for second-warmest year

alinemati1983-6987Apr 21

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State of the Climate: Strong El Niño Puts 2026 on Track for Second-Warmest Year

Key Highlights:

Global Temperatures: The year 2026 is expected to be among the top three warmest years on record, driven by a strong or "super" El Niño event.
Arctic Sea Ice: Arctic sea ice extent reached its joint-smallest winter peak in March 2026, marking a significant decline compared to historical averages.
Antarctic Sea Ice: Antarctic sea ice remains at the lower end of the historical range but has not set any new records so far.

Global Temperatures

The year 2026 is on track to be one of the hottest years in recorded history, largely due to a strong El Niño event. The phenomenon typically boosts global temperatures by increasing sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean.

El Niño Forecast:

Current Projections: Climate models predict that an El Niño event could develop into a "super" El Niño, which would significantly elevate global temperatures.
Historical Context: Previous strong El Niño years like 1998 and 20

Read the full article at Carbon Brief

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